Sunk — shut forecast

EFM max wave height ≥ 2.0 m
 
 
Under the hatch. EFM max wave height predicted 24 hours ahead from the ICON-EU forecast wind at EFM, the predicted tide and its direction, and the current sea state. Chance of shut comes from how the model has actually performed when it predicted similar heights.

Shut windows include a 3-hour standing time after the sea drops back below 2 m — it stays shut while you work the reopening. Those hours are hatched.

Trained on 6 years of EFM misery. If it's wrong, blame ICON-EU, not the coxswain.